Cameroon's Election: Will 92-Year-Old Biya Secure Another Term Despite Calls for Change?

Counting Votes: A Nation on Edge

As votes are counted in Cameroon following the presidential election held on October 12, 2025, the world watches closely the outcome of a contest steeped in both historical significance and pressing contemporary issues. At the center of the action is 92-year-old incumbent Paul Biya, the world’s oldest serving president, who seeks to extend his 43-year tenure at the helm of the Central African nation. This election paints a vivid picture of Cameron's socio-political landscape, grappling with calls for change amid the backdrop of a stagnant economy, political tensions, and youthful aspirations for a brighter future.

Biya’s Longevity and Governance Challenges

Biya's presidency has been marked by a series of economic challenges, including stagnant growth and increasing poverty levels that affect over 40% of the population, according to the World Bank. His ruling party, the Cameroon People’s Democratic Movement (CPDM), has maintained a tight grip on state resources and electoral processes. Analysts argue that despite a fragmented opposition—which includes 11 challengers looking to dethrone him—the infrastructural and governance machine Biya has built might be too powerful for change to prevail.

For years, critics have lamented Biya’s low-profile campaign approach, involving just a single rally in Maroua. His reliance on state media and a lack of direct engagement with the electorate may be indicative of his governance style, which has brought stability but also frustrating stagnation.

The Opposition: Voices of Change

Key figures from the opposition include Issa Tchiroma Bakary, a former government spokesperson and now a formidable challenger. Bakary’s campaign has resonated, particularly among disillusioned voters, many of whom echo a desire for renewed governance and a more dynamic political representation. The gravity of Bakary's message has transformed him from a former ally of Biya into a prominent figure advocating for an end to decades of the ruling party’s dominance.

The youth, in particular, demand change. With 34,411 registered voters from the diaspora and urban centers accounting for more than 60% of eligible voters, the election has become a platform for those who desire new leadership that addresses their needs, including healthcare, employment, and educational opportunities.

Predicting the Election Outcome: A Divided Nation?

While the election results are expected within the next 15 days, forecasts lean towards Biya retaining power given his established electoral machinery and political maneuvering. However, the excitement surrounding Bakary’s unexpected momentum creates an intriguing dynamic—one where a surprise victory could be in the realm of possibility.

As political analysts keep their eyes on election results, societal sentiments complicate the landscape further. Concerns about political violence and social unrest loom large, especially in light of Cameroon’s historical tensions, both politically and ethnically. Future predictions suggest that, while stability may favor Biya, the persistent clamor for change could manifest in varying forms of civil discourse and protest, no matter the outcome.

What Lies Ahead for Cameroon?

The implications of this election stretch far beyond immediate political outcomes. With growing international scrutiny and the pressures of globalization, including foreign relations nuances with countries like China and policies impacting the European Union, the global business community is acutely aware of how governance in Cameroon can influence broader economic currents across Africa.

Whether Biya’s return will spur continued stagnation or inspire new avenues for growth remains to be seen, but the stakes involve not only Cameroonians but also international investors and policymakers concerned about the region's development.

Ultimately, as the world’s attention turns to Cameroon, the question becomes more than who will lead; it’s about what kind of governance will emerge from this tumultuous period of political re-evaluation.